Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000120 0.000132 0.000145 0.000159 0.000175 0.000193 0.000213
2025-11-16 0.000095 0.000112 0.000132 0.000156 0.000185 0.000220 0.000264
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000098 0.000122 0.000152 0.000191 0.000241 0.000308
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000092 0.000118 0.000154 0.000204 0.000269 0.000364
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000087 0.000116 0.000157 0.000216 0.000299 0.000425
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000080 0.000110 0.000154 0.000220 0.000316 0.000469
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000073 0.000103 0.000148 0.000219 0.000325 0.000501
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000069 0.000100 0.000149 0.000227 0.000348 0.000558
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000066 0.000098 0.000150 0.000235 0.000372 0.000619
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000063 0.000095 0.000148 0.000238 0.000388 0.000667
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000060 0.000093 0.000149 0.000245 0.000411 0.000733
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000057 0.000090 0.000146 0.000247 0.000426 0.000782
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000055 0.000087 0.000146 0.000253 0.000448 0.000853
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000052 0.000084 0.000144 0.000255 0.000465 0.000916
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000140 0.000255 0.000476 0.000968
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000142 0.000265 0.000510 0.001075
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000145 0.000277 0.000548 0.001197
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000142 0.000277 0.000563 0.001267
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000041 0.000073 0.000137 0.000272 0.000565 0.001306
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000040 0.000072 0.000138 0.000280 0.000595 0.001420
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000138 0.000288 0.000627 0.001547
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000137 0.000289 0.000645 0.001636
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000137 0.000296 0.000677 0.001771